Thursday, February 3, 2011

Sluggish Revitalization Ups Risk For Obama By Mansukh

The economy is bouncing back two years into Obama's presidency. But the president is confronting unemployment of more than 9%, record home foreclosures and in all likelihood, the third straight federal budget shortfall of over $1 trillion. About 1.1 million nonfarm jobs were created last year, and economists are forecasting growth of 3.5% in the final three months of 2010. That said, many Americans remain out of work, even as markets have improved. There are 2.8 million fewer jobs now than in January 2009. With planning for his second White House run already underway and with Republicans gunning for his signature health-care plan and seeking aggressive federal spending cuts, Obama must convince voters he can deliver the scaled-back version of Washington they're demanding as well as targeted investments.

The latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, taken Jan. 13-17, showed 53% approved of the job Obama is doing as president, up eight percentage points from December. The poll was conducted after Obama signed a package of tax-cut and jobless-benefits extensions he agreed on with congressional Republicans during the December lame-duck session of Congress. Obama has been road-testing the themes for his sophomore State of the Union in recent days, including in remarks last week at a General Electric Co. plant in New York that will soon be making advanced batteries. He used the occasion to name GE CEO Jeffrey Immelt to head a new White House council on jobs and competitiveness, and underscored how investment will help the U.S. stay competitive.
Obama's address comes as the government is operating on a short-term budget that expires March 4, and a fight over raising the U.S. debt ceiling looms. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has warned Congress that the country could hit its $14.3 trillion debt limit by the end of March if Congress doesn't act, but Republicans are demanding spending cuts in return for their votes. Industries are also eager to hear from the president, who has pivoted in recent weeks to a decidedly more business-friendly posture.

The recently passed tax-cut deal between President Barack Obama and Congressional Republicans has removed some of the pressure on the Fed from being alone on the front line battling the economic crisis. The eighteen members of the Open Market Committee are widely expected at their two-day meeting that kicks off Tuesday to keep interest rates steady at record low levels and make no changes to the controversial $600 billion bond-buying program. The Fed has kept since December 2008, and is expected to keep, its key interest rate in a range of 0% to 0.25% as it seeks to bolster the economy.

The market responce to state of uniom speeches
NSE BSE Report

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